UFC 311 Odds and Betting Predictions
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MMA fans can bet on two title fights with the latest UFC 311 odds. Merab Dvalishvili seeks his first title defense since winning the Bantamweight championship at UFC 306. Then, in the main event, Islam Makhachev puts his Lightweight Championship on the line against Arman Tsarukyan.
Keep reading to see the current UC betting odds from top MMA sportsbooks. I will break down the latest odds and highlight my favorite bets for this weekend’s UFC PPV.
UFC 311 Odds
See the table below for the latest odds for Saturday’s UFC 311 PPV fight card, courtesy of BetOnline.
| Favorite | Underdog | Weight Class |
| Islam Makhachev (-330) (c) | Arman Tsarukyan (+255) | Lightweight |
| Umar Nurmagomedov (-300) | Merab Dvalishvili (c) (+250) | Bantamweight |
| Jamahal Hill (-140) | Jiří Procházka (+120) | Light Heavyweight |
| Renato Moicano (-155) | Beneil Dariush (+135) | Lightweight |
| Reinier de Ridder (-115) | Kevin Holland (-105) | Middleweight |
This weekend’s PPV card has five total fights, including two title fights in the main and co-main events. The main card starts with Reinier de Ridder’s UFC PPV debut against Kevin Holland. Then, Beneil Dariush faces Renato Moicano, and Jamahal Hill challenges Jiří Procházka.
In the co-main event, Umar Nurmagomedov challenges Merab Dvalishvili (c) for his Bantamweight title. The PPV card wraps up with a Lightweight title fight between Islam Makhachev (c) and Arman Tsarukyan.
In addition to the odds above, BetOnline also has competitive odds on the prelim card for UFC 311. There are nine fights scheduled for the prelim card, including a Bantamweight fight between Payton Talbott (9-0) and Raoni Barcelos (18-5).
UFC 311 Odds Breakdown
The first UFC PPV of 2025 has five exciting fights for fans to wager on. Let’s take a closer look at the updated UFC 311 odds for every main card fight.
Reinier de Ridder (-115) vs. Kevin Holland (-105)
Reinier de Ridder (18-2) made his UFC debut in November, submitting Gerald Meerschaert via arm triangle choke in the third round. After his impressive promotional debut, de Ridder will achieve another milestone: his UFC PPV debut. He is a -115 favorite over UFC veteran Kevin Holland (26-12, 1 NC) on Saturday.
Holland is listed at -105, making him the smallest underdog on this weekend’s main card. He has lost three of his last four fights, and Holland is just 13-9, 1 NC in his UFC career.
de Ridder, on the other hand, has only lost twice in his MMA career, back-to-back losses to Anatoly Malykhin for the ONE Heavyweight Championship. This fight is at Light Heavyweight, and I think de Ridder will move to 2-0 in his UFC career.
- Prediction: Reiner de Ridder -115
Renato Moicano (-155) vs. Beneil Dariush (+135)
Next is a battle between Renato Moicano (-155) and Beneil Dariush (+135). Dariush (22-6-1) has lost back-to-back fights by first-round knockout. Moicano, conversely, brings a four-fight winning streak into UFC 311.
Five of Dariush’s six career losses have come via knockout. Moicano has fared equally poorly in fights decided by knockout and is just 2-3 in such contests. On the other hand, Moicano is 10-1 in fights that end in submission.
Dariush is 8-1 in fights decided by submission, so this fight should be a grappling exhibition. A long fight favors Dariush, who is 9-0 in fights that go to decision. Dariush needs a win to avoid a third straight loss, and I believe he will secure the upset this Saturday.
- Prediction: Beneil Dariush +135
Jamahal Hill (-140) vs. Jiří Procházka (+120)
Jamahal Hill and Jiří Procházka both came up short in their respective title fights against UFC Light Heavyweight Champion Alex Pereira. Now, Hill (-140) and Procházka will square off for another chance at Pereira’s belt.
Hill is the slight favorite, and this will be his first fight since losing to Pereira at UFC 300. He did not look ready for his fight with Pereira, but Hill has had nearly a year to recover from his first-round knockout loss. Procházka has also had a long layoff, last fighting at UFC 303 in June.
This should be a close fight, and I think Procházka will prevail. His fighting style is risky, and Procházka takes a lot of hits, but only Pereira has managed to knock him out. If Procházka’s chin continues to hold up, he will beat Hill on Saturday.
- Prediction: Jiří Procházka +120
Umar Nurmagomedov (-300) vs. Merab Dvalishvili (c) (+250)
The co-main event of this weekend’s PPV pits Merab Dvalishvili (18-4) against Umar Nurmagomedov (18-0) for the UFC Bantamweight Championship. Dvalishvili won the belt at UFC 306, defeating former champion Sean O’Malley by unanimous decision.
Secure sportsbooks list Dvalishvili as a +250 underdog to retain his belt against the undefeated Nurmagomedov. This will be Nurmagomedov’s seventh fight in the UFC, and he has three finishes so far in the Octagon. Nurmagomedov has a 50% finish rate in his career, with seven submission wins and two knockouts.
Dvalishvili, conversely, only has four finishes in his 18 career wins and has not finished an opponent since his victory over Marlon Moraes at UFC 266. He is 14-3 in fights that go to decision, so Dvalishvili could have the edge if the fight goes that long.
His style worked well in three-round fights, but Dvalishvili’s title defense against Nurmagomedov is scheduled for five rounds. That is too long to be in the cage with Nurmagomedov, and we will see a new Bantamweight Champion on Saturday.
- Prediction: Umar Nurmagomedov -300
Islam Makhachev (c) (-330) vs. Arman Tsarukyan (+255)
Islam Makhachev (c) faces Arman Tsarukyan in this weekend’s main event. Makhachev is a -330 favorite in the latest UFC 311 odds. These fighters squared off in April 2019, with Makhachev winning the three-round fight by unanimous decision.
Makhachev has won 14 straight fights, including four consecutive title fights. The champion has had over six months to recover since his fifth-round submission win over Dustin Poirier at UFC 302 in June. Tsarukyan has won four straight fights, and his only losses in the UFC have come via unanimous decision.
The champion has 17 finishes in his career, including 12 submissions. Tsarukyan has 14 finishes (9 KOs, 5 submissions) in his 22 career wins, so this fight should not go to a decision. Makhachev is the safest bet on the main card, and he will retain his belt on Saturday.
- Prediction: Islam Makhachev -330
UFC Betting Tips for UFC 311
Knowing how to bet on the UFC is key to making money off this weekend’s PPV card. Here are three tips to help you prepare for this Saturday’s fight card.
1. Study Each Fighter
As the old saying goes, styles make fights. The best way to know each fighter’s style and tendencies is to watch their previous fights. This can be time-consuming but on the bright side, you can watch previous fights for free on the UFC YouTube channel.
Studying each fighter will make it easier to predict the winner of every contest at UFC 311 correctly. For instance, watching Makhachev vs. Tsarukyan 1 can provide insight into how each fighter will fare in their rematch this weekend.
2. Use Bonuses and Contests
Another important tip for taking advantage of the odds for this weekend’s PPV is to use sports betting bonuses and betting contests to extend your bankroll. The best sportsbooks for UFC betting offer thrilling bonuses to help fund your bankroll. BetOnline, for example, offers a $250 No Strings Welcome Offer for new members.
You can also join betting contests to compete directly against other UFC bettors. Some sites even offer free contests with cash prizes, so you can win money without risking any of your bankroll.
3. Shop for the Best UFC 311 Odds
The best strategy for any UFC bettor is to shop for the best odds. Comparing UFC odds at the best sports betting sites will help you maximize your betting value. The better your value, the more money you can win this weekend.
High-value odds are not the only factor to consider. You should also take into account other important factors, like bonus options and the site’s security measures.
Whose UFC 311 Odds Will You Bet On?
Fight fans are in for a treat this weekend with the first PPV of 2025, and you can wager on every matchup with the UFC 311 odds. See the guide above for the latest odds and my predictions for this weekend’s UFC card.
After reading my picks, create your BetOnline account today to wager on UFC 311. You can wager on updated, competitive odds for all 14 fights on Saturday’s card, including the five-fight main card. New members who use the code FREE250 can redeem up to $250 in free bets with their first deposit.
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