UFC 304 Odds and Predictions: Leon Edwards vs. Belal Muhammad
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Leon Edwards is a moderate favorite to retain his UFC Welterweight Championship in the latest UFC 304 odds. Edwards will attempt to defend his belt against Belal Muhammad. Edwards (22-3) and Muhammad (23-3) will face off in the main event of UFC 304 this Saturday in Manchester, England.
This guide will detail the current UFC betting odds for this weekend’s PPV, courtesy of the top MMA betting sites. I will break down all of the fights on the main card, including the title fights in the co-main and main events.
Leon Edwards vs. Belal Muhammad Odds
UFC Welterweight Champion Leon Edwards will attempt to add another successful tile defense to his resume this weekend. BetOnline has Edwards favored to retain his belt this weekend against Belal Muhammad.
| Fighter | Spread | Odds | Total Rounds | Moneyline |
| Leon Edwards | -5.5 | -125 | Over 4.5 (-215) | -255 |
| Belal Muhammad | +5.5 | -105 | Under 4.5 (+175) | +215 |
Leon Edwards (-255)
Leon Edwards is the longest current reigning champion in the UFC. He defeated Kamaru Usman at UFC 278 to win the Welterweight Championship. Since then, Edwards has defended his title just twice, beating Usman again at UFC 286 and then defeating Colby Covington at UFC 296.
Edwards is not the most exciting fighter in the UFC. He has 10 career finishes but just one in his last eight appearances: his head kick knockout against Usman to win the title.
Although his style may not be exciting, Edwards’ fighting style is effective as he is 12-0, 1 NC in his last 13 fights in the UFC. The no-contest occurred in his first fight against Belal Muhammad in March 2021. Edwards won the first round on all three scorecards before the fight was stopped in the second round after an accidental eye poke.
Belal Muhammad (+215)
The other half of this main event title fight is Belal Muhammad, who is listed at +215 in the latest Leon Edwards vs. Belal Muhammad odds. Since his no-contest match against Edwards in 2021, Muhammad has won five straight fights, making him 9-0, 1 NC in his last 10 appearances.
Muhammad is 14-3, 1 NC overall in his 15 career fights in the UFC. Like Edwards, Muhammad’s fighting style relies heavily on the judges. He has five knockouts and one submission win in his career, with his other 17 wins coming via judges’ decision.
Edwards, for comparison, is 11-2 in fights decided by decision. Despite their similar strategies, Muhammad is the underdog heading into this matchup. As I mentioned above, he lost the first round to Edwards in their first fight before it was declared a no-contest in the second round.
Over/Under 4.5 Rounds
- Over 4.5 rounds (-215)
- Under 4.5 rounds (+175)
In addition to betting on the winner of Edwards vs. Muhammad 2, you can also wager on exciting props and totals wagers for this fight. Top sports betting sites has this fight favored to go the distance in the latest UFC 304 betting odds. The over/under is set at 4.5 rounds, and the over is the -215 favorite.
Considering Edwards and Muhammad’s fighting styles, it is challenging to imagine this fight ending early. Both fighters like to drag their opponents into deep water and have combined for 28 decision victories in their careers. With that in mind, I would take the over in this totals round wager.
Undercard Odds and Predictions
The main event is not the only exciting fight scheduled for this weekend in Manchester. Interim UFC Heavyweight Champion Tom Aspinall will also put his belt on the line in the co-main event. Paddy Pimblett, Giga Chikadze, and other recognizable fighters are also scheduled to compete.
| Favorite | Underdog | UFC 304 Prediction |
| Arnold Allen (-235) | Giga Chikadze (+200) | Giga Chikadze (+200) |
| Christian Leroy Duncan (-145) | Gregory Rodrigues (+125) | Christian Leroy Duncan (-145) |
| Bobby Green (-115) | Paddy Pimblett (-105) | Paddy Pimblett (-105) |
| Tom Aspinall (-350) | Curtis Blaydes (+285) | Tom Aspinall (-350) |
Arnold Allen (-235) vs. Giga Chikadze (+200)
The opening fight on the main card is a Featherweight fight between Arnold Allen (-235) and Giga Chikadze (+200). Allen (19-3) is the betting favorite, but he is attempting to bounce back from back-to-back unanimous decision losses. Chikadze, on the other hand, has won 10 of his last 11 fights.
Allen had won 12 straight fights and earned a 10-0 record in the UFC before his current losing streak. Only four of his 11 career finishes happened in the octagon, and he has six decision wins since joining the promotion.
Chikadze has 10 finishes in his career, including nine knockouts, and he is one of the hardest kickers in the weight class. However, similar to Allen, Chikadze has only earned three finishes in his nine UFC appearances. All three of Allen and Chikadze’s compared losses in the UFC have come via decision.
Christian Leroy Duncan (-145) vs. Gregory Rodrigues (+125)
Another great fight scheduled for this weekend is the Middleweight bout pitting Christian Leroy Duncan (10-1) vs. Gregory Rodrigues (15-1). Duncan is the -145 favorite over Rodrigues (+125) in this three-round fight. Both fighters are 4-1 in their last five fights.
Duncan started his career 8-0 before losing his first fight at a UFC Fight Night in June 2023. His knockout power makes him a threat to anyone in the division, with eight of his 10 career wins coming via knockout.
Rodrigues also has plenty of power behind his strikes, earning nine knockout victories in his 15 career wins. He also has won back-to-back fights in the UFC for the third time in the UFC. However, Rodrigues has never won more than two fights in a row in the octagon.
Bobby Green (-115) vs. Paddy Pimblett (-105)
One of the most exciting rising stars in the UFC, Paddy Pimblett, will also compete this weekend. Pimblett (-105) is a slight underdog this weekend against UFC veteran Bobby Green (-115) in their Lightweight bout.
Green is by far the more experienced fighter, with 48 professional MMA bouts to Pimblett’s 24. He is just 13-10-1, 1 NC in his UFC career, though, and is 3-3, 1 NC in his last seven UFC fights. Pimblett, on the other hand, is riding a seven-fight win streak and is 5-0 in his UFC career.
Tom Aspinall (-350) vs. Curtis Blaydes (+285)
The co-main event will feature the Interim UFC Heavyweight Champion. Tom Aspinall (-350) is a heavy favorite to retain his interim title against Curtis Blaydes (+285). Blaydes technical beat Aspinall in July 2022, but the fight ended in just 15 seconds after Aspinall suffered a knee injury during the bout.
Aspinall was the slight favorite ahead of their first fight, and he is a heavy favorite for the rematch. This will be Aspinall’s first attempt to defend the interim belt since winning it at UFC 295.
The interim champion Aspinall is 7-1 in the UFC, with all but one of his fights ending in the first round. Blaydes is 13-4, 1 NC in his 18 UFC appearances. His most recent loss came against Sergei Pavlovich in April 2023, the same man that Aspinall beat for the interim title last November.
UFC 304 Predictions
There are 14 bouts scheduled for UFC 304 this weekend in Manchester, England. Two titles will be on the line, and the other three main card fights feature future title contenders. Here are my UFC 304 predictions.
- Giga Chikadze defeats Arnold Allen (+195): It is challenging to imagine Allen losing a third fight in a row, but Chikadze’s kicks can stop anyone. I think Chikadze will kick his way to an upset win in an exciting opening bout.
- Christian Leroy Duncan defeats Gregory Rodrigues (-145): Duncan is the slight favorite, and I believe his reach advantage will be the difference maker in this fight. Rodrigues has struggled with knockout artists before, and he will be fighting an uphill battle this weekend.
- Paddy Pimblett defeats Bobby Green (-105): Pimblett is the smallest of underdogs, but I think he will get the win over Green this weekend. Green should provide a good test for the rising star, but I believe Paddy “The Baddy” will pass with flying colors.
- Tom Aspinall defeats Curtis Blaydes (-375): Aspinall has plenty to fight for this weekend with a chance to avenge his last loss and prove himself worthy of a fight with Jon Jones. I believe Aspinall is a worthy favorite and will beat Blaydes in convincing fashion this Saturday.
- Leon Edwards defeats Belal Muhammad (-255): Edwards’ reign as Welterweight Championship has been underwhelming, and I believe it will come to an end soon. However, I do not think Muhammad is the guy to beat him, and I recommend betting on the champion to win via decision this weekend.
Which UFC 304 Odds Will You Bet On?
Two title fights headline this weekend’s UFC card in Manchester, England. Interim Heavy Championship Tom Aspinall will attempt to defend his title for the first time against Curtis Blaydes in the co-main event. Then, Leon Edwards will put his Welterweight Championship on the line against Belal Muhammad in the main event.
Check out the guide above to see the latest UFC 304 odds and my predictions for this PPV card. Then, sign up at BetOnline Sportsbook to bet on the latest MMA odds for this event.
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