The Top NFL Player Props for Week 15
The top NFL player props for Week 15 have the added excitement of carrying playoff implications. Only one team in the league has locked up their spot in the postseason. Everyone else is still competing for a seat at the playoff table.
You can bet on NFL player props for all of the games this weekend. This weekend’s slate includes a ton of games that will directly impact the playoff standings in both conferences.
Continue reading to see the best NFL Week 15 prop bets for Sunday’s games. I will tell you which player props you should bet on and give you my predictions for each wager.
NFL Week 15 Player Props
There are a lot of exciting options available in Bovada’s NFL Week 15 player props markets. Week 15’s Saturday games feature six potential playoff teams. The games on Sunday are also full of teams vying for a spot in the postseason.
Here are my picks for the top NFL player props for Week 15’s Sunday games. The odds for these wagers were provided by Bovada Sportsbook.
Kansas City Chiefs: Patrick Mahomes Under 1.5 Passing TDs (+125)
The Chiefs have lost back-to-back games and now sit at 8-5 on the season. Kansas City started the season 6-1 but has gone just 2-4 since.
Patrick Mahomes when targeting Rashee Rice:
6 TDs
0 INTsPatrick Mahomes when targeting any other Chiefs WR:
5 TDs
7 INTs pic.twitter.com/IBisIuhMbc— 🗣🎙‼️ (@LanceTHESPOKEN) December 14, 2023
A big part of the Chiefs’ struggles has been their receivers’ inability to catch the ball. Drops and offensive penalties have led to a below-average stat line for Patrick Mahomes this season. Mahomes has 23 TDs and 11 INTs this season, which is far below his standards.
He will face another tough test this weekend against a tough New England defense. Despite their other struggles, the Patriots’ defense has continued to be able to lock down opponents’ best weapons. Mahomes could be in for another long day if New England locks down Travis Kelce.
Bovada has Mahomes listed at over/under 1.5 passing TDs in this game. I do not trust KC’s other receiving options to step up, so I would take the under. Mahomes has back-to-back games with just one passing touchdown, and I think that streak will continue this weekend.
Patrick Mahomes under 1.5 passing TDs (+125)
LA Rams: Kyren Williams Over 120.5 Total Yards (-115)
Kyren William is in the midst of a breakout season for the LA Rams. The second-year RB has 990 total yards in nine games played this season. Williams has proven to be a threat out of the backfield and through the air.
"Kyren Williams is basically the new Todd Gurley"@FG_Dolan explains on the latest Fantasy Feast Podcast: pic.twitter.com/cTYyywC8sT
— Ross Tucker Podcast (@RossTuckerPod) December 7, 2023
Bovada has Williams listed at over/under 120.5 total rushing and receiving yards for this week. The Rams take on the Commanders at home this week.
Williams has fallen just short of 120 total yards in each of the last two weeks. However, I think that will change this week. I would take the over in this total yards bet for the emerging LA running back.
Washington allows 4.4 yards per carry, which is tied for the eighth-most in the NFL. They also allow 8.1 yards per pass attempt, which is the worst in the league. Williams should have plenty of room to rack up yards this week.
Kyren Williams over 120.5 total yards (-115)
Buffalo Bills: Josh Allen Anytime TD Scorer (+130)
Buffalo defeated Kansas City last week and improved to 7-6. The Bills need to keep winning if they want to stay in the running for an AFC playoff spot. Unfortunately for the Bills, they have to take on the Dallas Cowboys this weekend.
Dallas has one of the best defenses in the league and a high-powered offense. They just beat the Eagles to take the top spot in the NFC East. If there is any emotional letdown after that big win, then the Bills could have the opening they need to get a win over one of the league’s top teams.
For the Bills to win, they need Josh Allen to play well and limit his turnovers. Allen is listed at +130 to be an anytime TD scorer in this game. Only a rushing or receiving TD by Allen would satisfy this wager.
I believe Allen can get at least one TD with his legs this week. His rushing ability is one of the Bills’ best weapons on offense, and they need to pull out all the stops if they want to beat Dallas.
Josh Allen anytime TD scorer (+130)
Dallas Cowboys: Jake Ferguson Over 4.5 Receptions (+130)
Speaking of the Cowboys, they finally have a win over a team that still has a winning record. Last week’s win over the Eagles was by far Dallas’s best win for the season. Now, they have to try to keep that momentum going as they travel to Orchard Park.
What a photo of Dallas Cowboys TE Jake Ferguson.
📷: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports pic.twitter.com/YL6kKVfCwH
— RJ Ochoa (@rjochoa) December 11, 2023
The Cowboys’ offense has been one of the top-scoring units in the league this season. One of the emerging stars for Dallas this season has been TE Jake Ferguson. He has 51 receptions for 570 yards and 5 TDs in his first year replacing Dalton Shultz.
Ferguson is available at +130 odds to have over 4.5 receptions in this game. He has had 11 receptions on 16 targets in the last two weeks. I believe he will have at least five more catches this weekend, and I would take the over in this NFL player prop for Week 15.
Best Player Props for Sunday Night Football Week 15
This week’s SNF matchup pits two AFC division leaders against one another. The Ravens (10-3) are currently the top team in the AFC. They will travel to Florida to take on the Jaguars (8-5) in a game that could shake up the AFC standings.
Baltimore Ravens: Lamar Jackson Over 1.5 Passing TDs (+140)
Baltimore defeated LA 37-31 in an exciting OT thriller last weekend. Lamar Jackson and the Ravens face another tough test this weekend against the Jacksonville Jaguars (8-5). Jacksonville’s QB Trevor Lawrence is battling a high ankle sprain, but the team is desperate for a win after back-to-back losses.
The Jags’ defense will have to play at their best for the team to have a chance this weekend. Stopping the Ravens’ offense is easier said than done, though.
Jackson has 21 total TDs this season, including 16 through the air. Seven of his passing TDs have come in the last four games. Jackson is listed at +140 to have two more passing TDs this weekend against Jacksonville.
I believe Jackson will hit the over in this total passing TDs prop wager. He has two or more passing TDs in two of the last three games. He should be able to do it again this weekend against a Jags defense that was just lit up by Joe Flacco.
Lamar Jackson over 1.5 passing TDs (+140)
Jacksonville Jaguars: Travis Etienne Anytime TD Scorer (-112)
As I mentioned above, Jags’ QB Trevor Lawrence is hampered by a high ankle sprain. Jacksonville has also lost back-to-back games, and their lead in the AFC South is in jeopardy. The Jags need a win to avoid losing first place in their division.
Most broken tackles this season:
Travis Etienne – 24
Najee Harris – 23
Jaylen Warren – 20
James Conner – 19
Derrick Henry – 16
Kyren Williams – 16 pic.twitter.com/shWppbjaG6— NFL Stats (@NFL_Stats) December 14, 2023
Jacksonville is an underdog at home, but the Ravens are not unbeatable. RB Travis Etienne will need to be involved early and often for the Jags to pull off the upset.
Etienne has nearly 1,200 total yards and 10 total TDs this season. He is listed at -112 to get another TD this weekend against the Ravens. I believe he will score, especially if Jacksonville uses a run-heavy attack to take pressure off of Lawrence.
Travis Etienne anytime TD scorer (-112)
Best NFL Week 15 Player Props Parlay
NFL player props for Week 15’s best games are already exciting enough. If you want to make even more money this weekend, you can try combining player props into a parlay. Bovada’s parlay builder is super easy to use, too.
Here is an example of a parlay you can make using the odds listed above:
- Patrick Mahomes under 1.5 passing TDs (+125)
- Josh Allen anytime TD scorer (+130)
- Travis Etienne anytime TD scorer (-112)
- Parlay odds: +880
Etienne and Allen both need to have productive games on the ground for their teams to have a chance against tough opponents. Mahomes, on the other hand, will be limited by the talent of his receivers against a tough Patriots defense. At +880 odds, even a small stake on the Week 15 TD parlay could have a huge payout.
Which NFL Week 15 Player Props Are You Betting On?
The games in Week 15 will have major implications for this season’s playoffs. Check out the list above to see the best NFL Week 15 prop bets and my predictions. Then, sign up at Bovada Sportsbook to place all of your bets on this week’s most exciting matchups.