2024 US Presidential Election Odds Breakdown
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Offshore betting sites are the place to be this election as they are the only place to bet on the latest Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris odds. The 2024 election is expected to be a close race, and betting on elections has become increasingly popular.
This is good news for bettors because it means there are also exciting betting markets for the upcoming presidential election. In this guide, I will summarize the latest 2024 US presidential election odds at the top political betting sites. I will tell you the current odds that Trump or Harris will win the election and provide insight into the latest election props.
BetOnline Sportsbook provided the presidential election betting odds for this 2024 election betting guide.
Current Betting Odds – Trump vs. Harris in 2024
| Candidate | 2024 Election Odds | Odds on Sept. 13th | Odds on Aug. 21 |
| Donald Trump Sr. | -130 | +100 | -115 |
| Kamala Harris | +110 | -120 | -105 |
Less than a month from election day, Trump (-130) is the betting favorite to win the presidency. The former President cannot coast on his lead, though, as Harris is listed at +110 to win the 2024 election. Trump also only regained the lead in the betting odds in recent weeks.
The Trump vs. Harris odds have flip-flopped multiple times in the months since Harris replaced President Joe Biden on the Democratic ticket. Trump was a -115 favorite at the end of August, but Harris was the -120 favorite in September when the post-Harris-Trump debate polls were released.
Trump has regained the lead, but both sides can point to polling data that says their candidate will win. A close race is fantastic news for bettors as it means there are exciting betting markets for the upcoming election.
Can Donald Trump Win the Election?
Former president Donald Trump is the current betting favorite to win the 2024 presidential election. But can Trump actually win the election this November?
The simple answer is yes, Trump can win. Despite his myriad of legal issues and PR nightmares, the former president is still popular with his MAGA base. Trump earned over 74 million votes in the 2020 election, the second-most of any candidate in a US election.
Unfortunately for Trump, Biden earned over 81 million votes, and, more importantly, Biden won the Electoral College with 306 votes to Trump’s 232. However, Trump will have an advantage in the EC this time, as the system has favored the GOP for decades.
Trump’s path to victory is simple: maintain his MAGA voting base and flip the swing states he lost in 2020. Pennsylvania, Georgia, Michigan, and others all flipped from Trump to Biden in 2020. If Trump can turn them red again, he will win the election.
Flipping swing states is easier said than done, and Trump has hurt his campaign in multiple ways this year. His decision to pick JD Vance as his running mate and Trump’s performance in his debate against Harris have been widely panned.
Trump’s ongoing legal battles, questionable economic plan, and lack of a straightforward platform have weakened his base and could cost him the 2024 election.
Can Kamala Harris Win the Election?
If the United States relied on the popular vote, Kamala Harris would be a significant favorite. BetOnline has Harris listed at -400 to win the popular vote. However, the presidential election is not one popular contest; it is 53 separate popularity contests of differing weights.
The Harris campaign has focused heavily on maintaining the Blue Wall and making headway in new potential swing states like North Carolina. If Harris can sweep the Blue Wall states of PA, MI, and WI, she will have a great chance at winning the election.
Harris also has the advantage with younger voters, with some polls showing a 31-point lead over Trump with voters 29 and under. The youth voter could be Harris’s best path to victory if enough young voters turn out in swing states.
The Vice President cannot simply rely on young voters, though, and she has plenty of hurdles to clear if she wants to win the presidency. Trump polls better on the economy and immigration, two of the most important issues with voters this election.
Harris must overcome public perception on critical issues to win the election. As the Vice President, she may not be responsible for natural disasters or corporations arbitrarily raising prices, but voters and the Trump campaign will blame her.
2024 Election Prop Bets
Betting on the winner of the 2024 election is not the only way to wager this election season. BetOnline also offers great election props.
Popular Vote Prop Odds
- Kamala Harris wins the popular vote (-400)
- Donald Trump Sr. wins the popular vote (+250)
The popular vote does not decide the president, but it can still indicate how voters feel about each candidate. BetOnline has odds on the winner of the popular vote. Democrats have won the popular vote in seven of the last eight elections, and Harris is a -400 favorite to win it this year.
BetOnline offers margin of victory odds on the popular vote result as well. Harris is listed at +250 to win the popular vote by 2.5% to 4.99%.
Balance of Power Props
In many ways, the balance of power between Congress and the presidency is just as important as the winner of the presidential election. A president’s hands are essentially tied without control of at least one house in Congress.
You can bet on the balance of power in Congress and the power balance between Congress and the presidency at BetOnline. Some options for these wagers include:
- Republicans win House and Senate (+130)
- Democrats win House and Senate (+325)
- Republicans win the presidency, House, and Senate (+140)
- Democrats win the presidency, House, and Senate (+350)
Bettors can also mix and match the outcomes of the House, Senate, and presidency using BetOnline’s premade balance of power parlays.
State-By-State Odds and Parlays
BetOnline also has odds on every state for the upcoming election. You can place prop wagers on which candidate will win individual states. The site has a great parlay builder, too, so you can create your own parlays for the 2024 election.
There are pre-made election parlays as well. For instance, you can bet whether either candidate will sweep the Blue Wall or the Sun Belt states. Some of the odds for these parlays include:
- Democrats sweep Blue Wall states (+130)
- Republicans Sweep Sun Belt states (+150)
BetOnline offers odds on the upcoming congressional elections as well. You can bet on individual races for the House and Senate. Also, you can wager on whether states will elect candidates from the same party or be a split ticket.
Betting Strategies for Trump vs. Harris in 2024
Successful bettors know the importance of having a winning strategy. Here are three tips to help you get the most out of wagering on the latest Trump vs. Harris odds.
Time Your Bet
The timing of your wager in an election this close can make all the difference, and we have already seen the odds flip multiple times in recent months. Trump bettors could be better off waiting to place their wagers to see if Harris moves back into the pole position. Harris bettors, on the other hand, should bet now to maximize their value while she is listed at +110.
Consider Polling Data
Polls are not the end-all-be-all, but they can offer important insight into how the election will play out. The tricky part is finding unbiased, accurate polls you can rely on. Also, you should avoid relying on only one poll when making your predictions.
Hedge Your 2024 Election Bets
Another strategy for betting on the 2024 US presidential election odds is to hedge your bets. This election is too close to call, and hedging your bets can help you win money no matter who wins this November. Diversifying your ticket with different types of bets, bets on specific states, and other wagers can also help minimize your risk.
Predictions for the 2024 Presidential Election
The 2024 presidential election betting odds are as close as the election itself. We are unlikely to see another debate, but each candidate will have plenty of hurdles to contend with between now and election day.
Harris was the favorite but is now the +110 underdog in the 2024 election. Despite the shift in odds, I think Harris is the best bet to win the election. Her advantage with young voters and the plus-money odds make betting on Harris too good of an opportunity to pass up.
What Trump vs. Harris Odds Will You Bet On?
Much like the election itself, the latest Trump vs. Harris odds are too close to call. You can see the latest odds and my 2024 election predictions above.
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