2024 Republican Nominee Odds: Can Nikki Haley Beat Donald Trump?

Author ImageAuthor: | Last Updated: January 2024
Donald Trump on the Right and Nikki Haley on the Left

The latest Republican nominee odds still show former President Donald Trump as a heavy favorite to win the nomination. Trump is a heavy favorite despite his ongoing legal battles. However, his lead in some recent polls has shortened as Nikki Haley has surged ahead of the other challengers.

Thanks to political betting online, you can take advantage of all of the latest changes in the GOP nomination odds. Betting on a rising underdog like Haley could lead to a huge payout if she manages to upset Trump in the primary.

Keep reading to see the latest Nikki Haley 2024 odds. I will break down the latest betting odds from BetUS Sportsbook and tell you how Haley can defeat Trump in the 2024 GOP primaries.

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Updated Republican Nominee Odds

  • Donald Trump (-750)
  • Nikki Haley (+400)
  • Ron DeSantis (+1500)
  • Vivek Ramaswamy (+3000)

As you can see, Trump (-750) is still a heavy favorite to be the Republican nominee in 2024. However, Nikki Haley has surged ahead of the other top challengers for the nomination.

Haley is listed at +400 to win the GOP nomination. The next closest candidate is Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis at +1500. Businessman turned politician Vivek Ramaswamy has fallen to +3000 in the latest betting odds.

Donald Trump (-750)

Trump has been the favorite to win the 2024 GOP nomination since he lost reelection in 2020. The former President has dominated GOP polls for the upcoming primaries. He has also moved ahead of President Biden in the 2024 election odds.

In fact, Trump is such a heavy favorite to win the Republican nomination that he has not participated in any of the primary debates. Instead, he has hosted his own events, such as his interview with Tucker Carlson, to compete head-to-head with the debates for viewers.

Trump’s biggest challenge to this point has been his own ongoing legal battles. He is facing dozens of criminal charges across four different states.

Two states, Maine and Colorado, have even said that they will not have Trump on their primary ballots. They claim that this role in the January 6th insurrection violates the 14th amendment, which would disqualify him from running for President.

Nikki Haley (+400)

Ron DeSantis appeared to be the only real challenger to Trump heading into the first GOP primary debate. However, DeSantis has since fallen off and been replaced by a new challenger. Former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley (+400) has the second-best odds to win the GOP nomination.

Haley’s strong showing in the Republican debates has helped her make up a lot of ground on Trump. However, she still has a long way to go before she can be seen as a real challenger to the former President.

If Trump cannot run in all 50 states, then Haley would have a better chance of beating him. BetUS also has a market that does not include the former President. If Trump is not included in the market, then Haley’s odds shorten to -600.

However, Haley also has her own obstacles to overcome. Her recent comments on the Civil War, for instance, have caused her to face backlash and could cost her voters.

Will Haley Be Trump’s VP Pick?

In addition to being his top challenger for the nomination, Haley is also a leading candidate to be Trump’s VP. Haley is listed at +900 to be Trump’s VP on the 2024 ticket. That gives her the sixth-best odds of any of the top candidates to be Trump’s running mate.

Haley has worked with Trump before and was his Ambassador to the UN for nearly two years. She could also help the GOP present a united front and bring in voters that Trump has lost due to his antics.

It is not uncommon for challengers to become VPs when they lose the primary nomination. However, Haley has said she does not plan to be Trump’s VP, but she also has not ruled out the possibility when asked. She would face opposition from many notable GOP figures, though, including Carlson and Trump’s own son, Donald Trump, Jr.

Can Haley Beat Trump?

Multiple polls released in December showed that Haley has moved within striking distance of former President Trump. However, Haley will have to do more than just perform well in a few polls if she wants to beat Trump for the nomination. Haley could get some help from lawmakers in multiple states, though.

Haley vs. Trump Polling Numbers

A recent poll from the American Research Group Inc. shows that Haley is trailing Trump by just four points in the state of New Hampshire. This is significant for two reasons.

First and foremost, Trump previously had a much larger lead over the other perspective GOP nominees. Haley’s recent surge could help make her a legitimate contender to Trump in the former President’s attempt to win a third straight GOP nomination.

The other reason is that the New Hampshire Presidential Primary is fast approaching. If Haley’s support continues to grow in The First State, then she could have a real chance of upsetting Trump on January 23rd. The Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus is also scheduled for January.

Will Trump Be on the Ballot?

One of the biggest factors that could help Nikki Haley in her push to beat Trump for the nomination is out of her control. Two states, Colorado and Maine, have said that they will not have Trump on their primary ballots. If other states follow suit, then Haley could be the defacto choice to win the GOP nomination.

The reason Trump has been pulled from the ballot in those states is because of his role in the January 6th insurrection. The 14th Amendment disqualifies insurrectionists from running for President.

Trump and his campaign are challenging the decision and trying to secure his spot on primary ballots. If the decisions are upheld, though, then Trump would be at a disadvantage since he would be on fewer states’ ballots. Other states could take him off the ballot, too, which would hurt his chances even more.

Is Trump Going to Jail?

Another issue to consider is that Trump is facing serious legal challenges in multiple states. It is unlikely that any of his four ongoing trials will be resolved by the time that the 2024 election rolls around. However, his legal issues could still cost him the support of the GOP.

If Trump does go to jail before the primary is over, then Haley could steal the nomination. Some GOP voters could also support Haley over Trump, given Trump’s legal issues. The MAGA voters would likely be unaffected, but Trump would need more than just their votes to win the GOP nomination.

There is also the chance that Trump could accept a plea deal in order to avoid actually serving jail. Haley has also said that she would pardon Trump if she is elected President. Whether this is true or not, it could help her win support from MAGA voters if Trump is unable to run.

2024 Republican Nominee Pick

Nikki Haley (+400) has the second-best Republican nominee odds. However, I would only bet on Trump (-750) for now.

Haley has closed the gap on Trump in a few states. However, he is still the overwhelming favorite to win the nomination. Trump is also the overall favorite for the 2024 election, so losing the GOP primary would be a huge upset.

I would not discount Haley entirely, though. If things continue to go against Trump in his legal battles or if he is pulled off more state ballots, I would bet on Haley.

When Should You Bet on Nikki Haley’s 2024 Odds?

Haley has the best odds of any candidate not named Donal Trump Sr. to win the Republican nomination. So, I would consider betting on her if one of two things happened to the former President.

The first is if Trump’s legal battles cost him a chance to run altogether. I do not think any of his cases will be resolved before the primary is over. However, if they do move faster than expected and Trump is losing the case, then a small bet on Haley could be worth the risk.

I would also consider betting on Haley if Trump is pulled off the ballot in more states. Trump is attempting to be put back on the ballot in Colorado and Maine, where he was kicked off for his role in the January 6th insurrection.

More states could remove Trump from the primary ballot. If his challenges in court are unsuccessful, then he may not be able to get enough votes to win. Should this scenario start to happen, then I would consider betting on Haley before her odds start to shorten.

Do You Think Nikki Haley Can Beat Trump?

Nikki Haley’s odds of winning the Republican nomination have shortened in recent weeks. She still trails Trump, and I think she has too much ground to make up on the former President. Check out BetUS Sportsbook for the latest betting odds on the 2024 US election.

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Shaun Stack Editor

Shaun Stack is a senior writer at GamblingSites.org. His gambling articles have appeared in the Daily Herald, Space Coast Daily, and NJ 101.5. He’s a football betting expert, a Survivor fan, and a skilled blackjack gambler. Shaun is a native of Kansas City but now lives in Pennsylvania and follows the Pittsburgh Steelers religiously.

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