2024 Election Betting Odds for Every State
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Seven swing states stand out in the latest election betting odds ahead of the next presidential debate. Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump have been confirmed as the Democratic and Republican nominees, respectively. Their performances in the upcoming presidential debate could help them win over voters in crucial battleground states.
This guide will break down the latest US election odds in 2024 at the top political betting sites. I will tell you the current favorite to win every state this election and highlight seven swing states to watch this November.
US Election Betting Odds
Check out the table below to see every state’s latest election betting odds, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.
| State | Favorite | State | Favorite |
| Alabama | Trump (-10000) | Alaska | Trump (-2500) |
| Arizona | Trump (-120) | Arkansas | Trump (-20000) |
| California | Harris (-10000) | Colorado | Harris (-2500) |
| Connecticut | Harris (-10000) | Delaware | Harris (-10000) |
| Florida | Trump (-1000) | Georgia | Trump (-165) |
| Hawaii | Harris (-10000) | Idaho | Trump (-20000) |
| Illinois | Harris (-10000) | Indiana | Trump (-5000) |
| Iowa | Trump (-2000) | Kansas | Trump (-5000) |
| Kentucky | Trump (-5000) | Louisiana | Trump (-7500) |
| Maine | Harris (-600) | Maryland | Harris (-5000) |
| Massachusetts | Harris (-5000) | Michigan | Harris (-180) |
| Minnesota | Harris (-2000) | Mississippi | Trump (-10000) |
| Missouri | Trump (-10000) | Montana | Trump (-10000) |
| Nebraska | Trump (-5000) | Nevada | Tied |
| New Hampshire | Harris (-700) | New Jersey | Harris (-5000) |
| New Mexico | Harris (-1500) | New York | Harris (-5000) |
| North Carolina | Trump (-170) | North Dakota | Trump (-20000) |
| Ohio | Trump (-1400) | Oklahoma | Trump (-20000) |
| Oregon | Harris (-3000) | Pennsylvania | Tied |
| Rhode Island | Harris (-5000) | South Carolina | Trump (-10000) |
| South Dakota | Trump (-20000) | Tennessee | Trump (-10000) |
| Texas | Trump (-1000) | Utah | Trump (-5000) |
| Vermont | Harris (-10000) | Virginia | Harris (-700) |
| Washington | Harris (-5000) | West Virginia | Trump (-20000) |
| Wisconsin | Harris (-150) | Wyoming | Trump (-20000) |
For states such as Maine and Nebraska that have split votes, the “winner” will be the candidate who wins the entire state’s popular vote.
US Presidential Election Swing State Betting Odds
Surprises can happen on election night, but it is rare for a candidate to lose a state where they are a heavy favorite. Assuming the election goes chalk in 43 states based on the betting odds table above, Kamala Harris would have a 226 to 219 lead over Donald Trump. The candidate who does better with these swing states will win the 2024 election.
Arizona
- Donald Trump (-120)
- Kamala Harris (-110)
Arizona has played a significant role in recent election cycles, and the Grand Canyon State will be an essential player again this November. BetOnline has Trump as a slight favorite at -120 to win Arizona and its 11 electoral votes. Harris is the smallest of underdogs at -110.
Joe Biden won Arizona in 2020 by fewer than 12,000 votes. Biden’s narrow win was surprising as Trump carried the state in 2016, as had every GOP presidential candidate since 2000.
Losing Arizona in back-to-back elections could be devastating for the Trump campaign. Trump is a slight favorite, but the latest polls have Harris as a slight favorite. According to The Hill, Harris leads Trump by 0.1% in Arizona in the latest post-DNC election polls.
Harris has plenty of momentum ahead of the ABC presidential debate. Arizona has been a thorn in the Republicans’ side in recent elections, and I think it will vote blue again this November.
- Prediction: Kamala Harris -110
Georgia
- Donald Trump (-165)
- Kamala Harris (+135)
Georgia is another swing state from 2020 that will play a significant part in this year’s election. President Biden narrowly won the Peach State in 2020, but Trump is a -165 favorite to win Georgia this time. Maintaining his lead will be easier said than done for the former President.
Trump had nearly a four-point lead over Biden ahead of the RNC. However, since then, Harris has replaced Biden and closed the gap with the former President.
Harris and Walz are pushing to win the Peach State, making Georgia one of their first stops on their post-DNC campaign tour. Blue voters have turned out in recent elections, but Harris’s push may be too little, too late to win Georgia.
- Prediction: Donald Trump -165
Michigan
- Kamala Harris (-180)
- Donald Trump (+150)
Next is Michigan, one of the only swing states where Harris is the clear betting favorite to win. BetOnline has the Democratic candidate listed at -180 odds to win the Wolverine State. Trump and the GOP, on the other hand, are listed as the +150 underdogs.
Trump was favored in Michigan in most polls in July. However, the Harris campaign quickly flipped the state blue once again after the Vice President became the assumed nominee.
In 2016, Trump narrowly won Michigan by fewer than 12,000 votes. However, Biden won Michigan by over 150,000 votes in 2020. Democrats carried the state from 1992 to 2012, and I think Harris will win the Wolver State in 2024.
- Prediction: Kamala Harris -180
Nevada
- Kamala Harris (-115)
- Donald Trump (-115)
Two states are currently a pick’em in BetOnline’s election betting odds. The first is Nevada, which has six electoral votes. Despite its close polling data every election, Democrats have not lost Nevada since 2004.
It only has six electoral votes, but the 2024 election could be the closest in recent memory. Winning Nevada could be the difference between reaching 270 votes and not.
Biden and Hillary Clinton both won Nevada by just under 2.5 points in 2020 and 2016, respectively. I believe Harris will have similar success, winning the Silver State by over 2% this November.
- Prediction: Kamala Harris -115
North Carolina
- Donald Trump (-170)
- Kamala Harris (+140)
North Carolina is a state that was not considered a swing state this spring. However, Harris’s success in the Tarheel State has brought NC into question this fall. Only one Democrat, Barack Obama in 2008, has won Nevada since 1980.
BetOnline has Trump as a slight favorite at -170 to win North Carolina. Harris does not need to win North Carolina to win the election, but flipping the state would be a massive win for the Vice President. However, I think the Tarheel State will stay red for now.
Trump only won North Carolina by 1.3 points in 2020, a decline from his 3.6-point victory in 2016. The Harris campaign has focused efforts in the state to try and flip it; however, I believe Trump will respond in kind. I think Trump escapes with a small win in a surprisingly hotly contested North Carolina.
- Prediction: Donald Trump -170
Pennsylvania
- Kamala Harris (-115)
- Donald Trump (-115)
Pennsylvania, like Nevada, is a pick’em in the latest US election betting odds at BetOnline. Both Harris and Trump are listed at -115 to win the Keystone State in November. Trump won PA in 2016, but Biden flipped the state back to blue in 2020.
Pennsylvania’s electoral college votes decreased from 20 to 19, but it is still the most valuable swing state this fall. Whichever candidate wins PA will have a significant advantage on election night. The Trump and Harris campaigns have both spent considerable amounts of money campaigning in PA as a result.
In theory, Harris should have a slight edge in the Keystone State. She was a part of the ticket that defeated Trump in PA in 2020, and Democrats have won the state in all but one presidential election since 1992. With that in mind, I think Harris is the best option for this wager.
- Prediction: Kamala Harris -115
Wisconsin
- Kamala Harris (-150)
- Donald Trump (+120)
The seventh and final state considered a battleground this November is Wisconsin, which is worth ten electoral college votes. Like Pennsylvania, Trump won Wisconsin in 2016, ending a streak of Democratic victories in the Badger State. Before Trump’s win, no Republican had won Wisconsin since Ronald Reagan in 1984.
Sports betting sites have Harris as the -150 favorite to win Wisconsin, with Trump as the +120 underdog. Winning Wisconsin again is crucial to Democrats’ plan to rebuild the “Blue Wall” they maintained in the Midwest for decades.
According to FiveThirtyEight, Harris leads Trump in Wisconsin by 3.6 points. That is a significant increase from Harris’s 1.2-point lead at the beginning of August. The momentum is behind Harris in Wisconsin, and I think she will carry the state this fall.
- Prediction: Kamala Harris -150
What Are Your 2024 Election Betting Odds Predictions?
Seven swing states will help decide the outcome of the 2024 election. You can find the latest election betting odds for every state, including swing states, in the guide above. I also summarize the odds for each swing state and give my 2024 election predictions.
After reading my picks, make sure you sign up at BetOnline Sportsbook. This site has hundreds of betting markets with great US election betting odds. It also offers an excellent No Strings welcome offer that rewards new members with up to $250 in free bets and 100 free spins in the casino.
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