An Expert Prediction for the Thunderpick World Championship

Author ImageAuthor: | Last Updated: October 2024
thunderpick world championship

The inaugural Thunderpick World Championship took place in late October and early November last year. Faze Clan ended up winning the title by beating Virtus.pro 2:0 in the final.

Now, the stage is set for the 2024 Thunderpick World Championship where 16 teams will battle it out for a whopping $1 million in prize money. In fact, the group stage and quarterfinals are all wrapped up and we’ve had a few surprises.

The only four teams left in the equation are 3DMAX, The MongolZ, Heroic, and OG. We’ll go through their performances before and on this tournament, examine the key facts for both semifinals, and provide betting predictions based on our research.

But, before we jump into the world of esports betting stats, let’s go through the main info on the event!

When is the Thunderpick World Championship?

  • Start date: October 21st, 2024
  • End date: November 3rd, 2024
  • Total prize pool: $1,000,000
  • Grand prize: $500,000
  • Participants: 16
  • Location: LVL Dome Arena in Berlin, Germany

The 2024 Thunderpick World Championship is played both online and offline. The online part consists of all group stage matches and the quarterfinals. Semifinals, third-place match and grand final, on the other hand, will be played in front of a live audience at the  LVL Dome Arena in Berlin, Germany.

The real playoff drama kicks off on Saturday, November 2nd with the semifinals, followed by the third-place clash and grand final on Sunday.

As the tournament’s name suggests, Thunderpick is the main sponsor for this event. The innovative esports bookmaker proudly announced this tournament earlier this year and stated event will have the highest prize pool of any CS2 event sponsored by a bookmaker.

The competitiveness is on point, even though the team lacks big names like NaVi, G2, and Vitality. It’s all thanks to the likes of Heroic and MongolZ who’ve been creating wicked plays all tournament long.

Our Predictions for the Series

Considering the fact there are still four matches to go, we decided to do a deep analysis of the upcoming semifinals. As for the outright winner bets, we’ll discuss that topic in more details right below our semifinals’ analyses.

3DMAX vs. MongolZ

  • 3DMAX to win +135
  • MongolZ to win -192

The first semifinal clash features 3DMAX and MongolZ. According to the current Thunderpick World Championship odds, MongolZ are the favorites. And it’s nothing surprising considering they swept through the group stage with +12 rounds difference and two straight wins.

Yes, they did lose Mirage against Imperial, but it’s not their strongest map and they did well to bounce right back up and close it out on Inferno. Senzu was by far the most influential figure in map 3 with 1.88 official HLTV 2.1 rating, finishing the bout with 27 kills, 4 assists, and 12 deaths.

Techno and bLitz seem to be in fine form too. If MongolZ’ core keeps up with such consistent performances, I doubt Lucky and the boys will find a way to progress to the finals. So, in other words, I believe we’ll see 3DMAX push things to the decider map, but MongolZ should end up reaching the grand final on Sunday.

Heroic vs. OG

  • Heroic to win -312
  • OG to win +210

As you can see, Heroic are the clear favorites coming into this one. But, OG won’t allow too much room to breathe. After all, many didn’t expect them to reach the playoffs at all… yet here they are, following two wins against Virtus.pro in the group stage and a reverse sweep against BIG in the quarterfinals.

F1KU and MoDo continue to dominate. Whenever their team needs a standout performer to clinch a map, one of these two guys steps up for the occasion. We’ve seen F1KU shine against VP in the decide match, and we’ve seen MoDo do what he does best in the QF clash with BIG.

However, if TeSeS and degster continue their fine run of form, I doubt OG will come out on top here. They’ve been absolutely dominant against NiP and Fnatic, suggesting more to come in the semifinal.

Another important note is the fact Heroic has a deeper map pool, which always bears extra importance in Bo3 clashes. So, long story short, we have to go with Heroic here.

What the Odds Say

You’ve guessed it, Thunderpick has the best odds for this event. Not only does Thunderpick feature match-winners, totals, and props for the upcoming playoff matches, but outright winner odds too. Let’s take a closer look:

  • Heroic +125
  • MongolZ +160
  • 3DMAX +450
  • OG +700

As we mentioned earlier, Heroic is currently the prime candidate for winning the whole tournament. But, it’s not going to be easy since they’re likely going to face MongolZ in the finals… assuming they both win their semifinal clashes.

Considering the way Heroic played in the group stage and how they dealt with Fnatic in the quarterfinals, +125 on TeSeS and the boys to win Thunderpick World Championship 2024 makes perfect sense.

Keep in mind that, besides outright winners and moneylines, bookies offer a plethora of additional betting options for this event. Thunderpick, for example, features 141 bet for each match. There’s everything from map-based bets, round-based bets and totals, to handicaps and overtime bets.

No matter which choice you opt for in the end, don’t forget to tune in to the live action that starts on 9AM PDT this Saturday.

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About the Author

Pavo is an experienced esports, sports betting and gambling journalist. He’s been a member of GamblingSites.org team for more than 6 years now. Nothing surprising considering our favorite Croat has a whole decade of experience in the industry. He’s written for several notable portals such as EsportsTalk, GamblingSites.org, and TheSportsGeek.com.