2024 US Presidential Election: Harris vs. Trump Odds
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The 2024 election is expected to be a close race, and betting on elections has become increasingly popular. We’ve been keeping a close eye on the Trump vs. Harris odds, and the gap is spreading.
This is good news for bettors because it means there are also exciting betting markets for the upcoming presidential election.
In this guide, I will summarize the latest 2024 US presidential election odds at the top political betting sites. I will tell you the current odds that Trump or Harris will win the election and provide insight into the latest election props.
Current Betting Odds – Trump vs. Harris in 2024
With the election just hours away, now is your last chance to bet on the best 2024 election odds. Here are the final updated odds for the 2024 election, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook and BetUS Sportsbook.
National polling average provided by FiveThirtyEight as of October 25th.
Donald Trump Sr. (-145)
Donald Trump Sr. will enter election day as the betting favorite to win the 2024 election. However, his lead in the odds has started to disappear in the final days of his campaign. Trump was listed at -170 on October 25th, and his odds have faded to -145.
Trump is finishing his 2024 campaign on a low note. The former President’s Madison Square Garden rally backfired, and his campaign stunts, such as pretending to work at McDonalds and cosplaying as a garbage man, have been widely mocked.
To make matters worse, some of the most trusted pollsters have Trump losing in previously safe states. For instance, J. Ann Selzer, one of the most accurate pollsters in the country, has Harris winning Iowa by three points. If Trump loses previously safe red states like Iowa, he cannot win on Tuesday.
Kamala Harris (+125)
Vice President Kamala Harris was the betting favorite to win the presidency for roughly half of her 2024 campaign. Harris is on track to close as a +125 underdog, an improvement from her +145 odds two weeks ago.
She is a massive favorite to win the popular vote, but Harris must do more than that to win the Electoral College. Her chances of winning the election will depend on her ability to maintain the Blue Wall.
If Harris can win Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, she will win the presidency. Despite being a slight underdog, even the oddsmakers are not counting Harris out.
BetOnline has multiple election props for tomorrow’s election. One of their bets is for the election winner to lose the popular vote, and the “no” option is the -170 favorite. For reference, Harris is listed at -415 to win the popular vote.
2024 Props
Speaking of election props, here are the latest odds on just a few of the best prop wagers available for the 2024 election.
| Election Prop | Updated Odds (11/4) | Previous Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Harris wins the popular vote | -425 | -210 |
| Trump wins the popular vote | +315 | +175 |
| GOP wins House and Senate | +105 | -110 |
| Democrats win House and Senate | +600 | +400 |
| GOP wins Presidency, House, and Senate | +125 | +100 |
| Democrats win Presidency, House, and Senate | +500 | +350 |
| Democrats sweep Blue Wall | +120 | +135 |
| Republicans sweep Sun Belt States | +120 | +125 |
Trump briefly made a run at winning the popular vote, with his odds shortening from +250 to +175. However, his odds have faded once again, and he is now listed at +315 to win the popular vote. Likewise, Harris’s odds have shortened from -210 to -425.
The GOP’s odds of winning the House and Senate have also faded slightly, going from -110 to +105. Democrats’ odds of sweeping Congress have also faded, dropping from +400 to +600. Both sides’ odds of winning the presidency, House, and Senate have faded as well.
Another interesting change in these election prop odds is the change in Blue Wall and Sub Belt sweep markets. Democrats were listed at +135 to sweep the Blue Wall, and Republicans were available at +125 to win all of the Sun Belt States. Harris and Trump are both listed at +120 to sweep the Blue Wall and Sun Belt States, respectively.
To check out our full, final list of props, read our 2024 Election Props and Odds post here:
Can Donald Trump Win the Election?
Former president Donald Trump is the current betting favorite to win the 2024 presidential election. But can Trump actually win the election this November?
The simple answer is yes, Trump can win. Despite his myriad of legal issues and PR nightmares, the former president is still popular with his MAGA base. Trump earned over 74 million votes in the 2020 election, the second-most of any candidate in a US election.
Unfortunately for Trump, Biden earned over 81 million votes, and, more importantly, Biden won the Electoral College with 306 votes to Trump’s 232. However, Trump will have an advantage in the EC this time, as the system has favored the GOP for decades.
Trump’s path to victory is simple: maintain his MAGA voting base and flip the swing states he lost in 2020. Pennsylvania, Georgia, Michigan, and others all flipped from Trump to Biden in 2020. If Trump can turn them red again, he will win the election.
Flipping swing states is easier said than done, and Trump has hurt his campaign in multiple ways this year. His decision to pick JD Vance as his running mate and Trump’s performance in his debate against Harris have been widely panned.
Trump’s ongoing legal battles, questionable economic plan, and lack of a straightforward platform have weakened his base and could cost him the 2024 election.
Can Kamala Harris Win the Election?
If the United States relied on the popular vote, Kamala Harris would be a significant favorite. BetOnline has Harris listed at -400 to win the popular vote. However, the presidential election is not one popular contest; it is 53 separate popularity contests of differing weights.
The Harris campaign has focused heavily on maintaining the Blue Wall and making headway in new potential swing states like North Carolina. If Harris can sweep the Blue Wall states of PA, MI, and WI, she will have a great chance at winning the election.
Harris also has the advantage with younger voters, with some polls showing a 31-point lead over Trump with voters 29 and under. The youth voter could be Harris’s best path to victory if enough young voters turn out in swing states.
The Vice President cannot simply rely on young voters, though, and she has plenty of hurdles to clear if she wants to win the presidency. Trump polls better on the economy and immigration, two of the most important issues with voters this election.
Harris must overcome public perception on critical issues to win the election. As the Vice President, she may not be responsible for natural disasters or corporations arbitrarily raising prices, but voters and the Trump campaign will blame her.
Betting Strategies for Trump vs. Harris in 2024
Successful bettors know the importance of having a winning strategy. Here are three tips to help you get the most out of wagering on the latest Trump vs. Harris odds.
Time Your Bet
The timing of your wager in an election this close can make all the difference, and we have already seen the odds flip multiple times in recent months. Trump bettors could be better off waiting to place their wagers to see if Harris moves back into the pole position. Harris bettors, on the other hand, should bet now to maximize their value while she is listed at +110.
Consider Polling Data
Polls are not the end-all-be-all, but they can offer important insight into how the election will play out. The tricky part is finding unbiased, accurate polls you can rely on. Also, you should avoid relying on only one poll when making your predictions.
Hedge Your 2024 Election Bets
Another strategy for betting on the 2024 US presidential election odds is to hedge your bets. This election is too close to call, and hedging your bets can help you win money no matter who wins this November. Diversifying your ticket with different types of bets, bets on specific states, and other wagers can also help minimize your risk.
Predictions for the 2024 Presidential Election
The 2024 presidential election betting odds are as close as the election itself. We are unlikely to see another debate, but each candidate will have plenty of hurdles to contend with between now and election day.
Harris was the favorite but is now the +125 underdog in the 2024 election. Despite the shift in odds, I think Harris is the best bet to win the election. Her advantage with young voters and the plus-money odds make betting on Harris too good of an opportunity to pass up.
What Trump vs. Harris Odds Will You Bet On?
Much like the election itself, the latest Trump vs. Harris odds are too close to call. You can see the latest odds and my 2024 election predictions above.
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