2024-25 Premier League Winner Odds and Predictions
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According to our research, all online sportsbooks in the US keep updating their Premier League title winner odds week after week. Now that we’re 15 matchdays in, it’s time to reevaluate our choices and update the odds and predictions accordingly.
Premier League Winner Odds Update
It’s not even Holiday season yet and the English Premier League is already 15 matchdays in. The 16th one is just around the corner and Arne Slot’s Liverpool is leading the charge with 4 points more than second-place Chelsea and a match yet to play.
Who would’ve thought at the start of the season that we’d see Slot’s Liverpool perform at the same level (I’ll dare to say even better) than Jurgen Klopp’s? Even more surprisingly, Manchester City is in 4th place with just 1 win in their last 5 EPL fixtures. Maresca’s Chelsea is playing fine too, while Arteta’s Arsenal is mastering set-piece plays and are always near the top of the food chain.
Here’s a closer look at the freshly updated top 10 Premier League title winner odds, courtesy of Bovada.
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| Liverpool | -135 |
| Arsenal | +275 |
| Chelsea | +550 |
| Manchester City | +1000 |
| Aston Villa | +20000 |
| Brighton | +25000 |
| Fulham | +25000 |
| Manchester United | +25000 |
| Newcastle United | +25000 |
| Tottenham | +25000 |
Obviously, Liverpool is the heavy favorite and you’ll soon understand why. The Reds are closely followed by Arsenal and Chelsea. City is at +1000, which is superb value, so if you’re a Citizen who hasn’t lost all hope just yet, here’s your chance to win big at +1000.
There’s no way anyone outside these 4 teams challenges for the title this season. So, virtually, all you have to do is keep tabs on the odds for these 4 teams and you’ll be good to go.
Favorite Teams to Win the 2024-25 English Premier League
We’re 15 matchdays in, with the 16th just around the corner, and Liverpool is at the top of the standings, seemingly with ease. That does make the Merseyside team the favorite, but the likes of Man City, Chelsea, and Arsenal are still in touching distance. Before going further, let’s take a closer look at the current standings:
| POS | Team | Played | W | D | L | Goals | G. Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Liverpool | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 29:11 | +18 | 35 |
| 2 | Chelsea | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 35:18 | +17 | 31 |
| 3 | Arsenal | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 29:15 | +14 | 29 |
| 4 | Manchester City | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27:21 | +6 | 27 |
| 5 | Nottingham | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:18 | +1 | 25 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 23:23 | 0 | 25 |
| 7 | Brighton | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 25:22 | +3 | 24 |
| 8 | Bournemouth | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:20 | +3 | 24 |
| 9 | Brentford | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 31:28 | +3 | 23 |
| 10 | Fulham | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:20 | +2 | 23 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 31:19 | +12 | 20 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19:21 | -2 | 20 |
| 13 | Manchester Utd | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19:18 | +1 | 19 |
| 14 | West Ham | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20:28 | -8 | 18 |
| 15 | Everton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 14 |
| 16 | Leicester | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 21:30 | -9 | 14 |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 13 |
| 18 | Ipswich | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 14:27 | -13 | 9 |
| 19 | Wolves | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 23:38 | -15 | 9 |
| 20 | Southampton | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11:31 | -20 | 5 |
As the primary favorites, we’ll discuss what Liverpool and Manchester City have been going through since the start of the season. Let’s roll!
Liverpool
Could Slot’s Liverpool really outperform Jurgen Klopp in the first season? I mean, they’re already doing so with 4 points clearance and a match to play. Best of all, strong EPL performances didn’t come at a cost of a poor Champions League outings.
Liverpool is doing superb in both competitions, and it’s all thanks to in-form Mo Salah and a deep bench that allows key players much-needed rest. For me, Liverpool is the strongest contender for winning the EPL and potentially even CL this season.
Manchester City
Manchester City kickstarted the season with an unbeaten run that lasted 14 matches. Then, they went through a shocking 21:1 defeat against Spurs in the EFL Cup, only to continue losing the 4 subsequent matches too. Things just haven’t been the same for Pep Guardiola since then.
I’m afraid Rodri’s absence is taking a toll on City’s performances. Kovacic is injured too, and City simply doesn’t have enough depth in the center of the pitch to make up for two world class players. Kovacic return is a matter of day at this point, but Rodri won’t play a single match this season… which likely means Man City will be less of a threat than Chelsea and Arsenal.
Dark Horses
I wouldn’t typically label 2nd and 3rd place teams as dark horses. But, the situation in the EPL is always as chaotic as they come, so Chelsea and Arsenal fit the description right now. Let’s have a closer look!
Chelsea
Who would’ve thought Maresca’s Chelsea would still be in the title race after 15 matchdays. Heck, even Maresca himself told the press his team is not ready yet. But, here we are, Chelsea is sitting in second place with just 4 points below Liverpool and with 35:18 goal difference which makes them the highest-scoring team in the league.
Chelsea’s current run marks 4 straight wins in the EPL and will be eyeing their fifth against Brentford this weekend. Chelsea is relatively healthy, has superb squad depth, and will pose as one of the biggest threats to Liverpool in the remainder of the season.
Arsenal
Arsenal’s performances this season have been phenomenal. In terms of goals, they’re at 29:15 and are in third place with 29 points. Yes, they drew with Fulham in the last fixture, but I doubt that it will have a big effect on future performances.
Arteta still continues to base his gameplay around quick build-up play and set pieces. Arsenal players are dominant in midfield and show no mercy in front of the goal. If Liverpool slips, Arsenal will make the most out of it!
Premier League Relegation Odds
We can’t forget about the relegation race either! It’s going to be as thrilling as the title race itself, which is why I’d like to go through the odds before diving deeper into the top 5 relegation contenders:
| Southampton | -1000 |
| Ipswich Town | -250 |
| Leicester City | -135 |
| Wolves | +110 |
| Everton | +300 |
| Crystal Palace | +650 |
| Manchester City | +1200 |
| West Ham United | +1400 |
| Brentford | +4000 |
| Nottingham Forest | +5000 |
Some of you ought to be thinking right now – wait, why is Man City listed so low when they aren’t that bad. Well, it all comes down to City’s 115 charges related to financial wrongdoings. If they’re found guilty, relegation is very likely… but it would be the least of their concerns, I reckon.
Southampton
Southampton is going through a disastrous season. They’ve scored just 11 and conceded 31 goals. Their goal difference is -20 and are sitting at just 5 points. If Southampton fails to win any points against Tottenham and Fulham, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Russell Martin get sacked. As things stand right now, Southampton are by far the biggest candidates to get relegated to the Championship.
Wolves
Wolves have conceded a whopping 38 goals in 15 fixtures. That’s just over 2.5 conceded goals per match. With such a terrible defensive record, their 23 scored goals were enough to bring just 2 wins and 3 draws all season long.
Their current goal difference is -15 and they have just 9 points so far, with the goal of surviving another season in the EPL looking unlikely as things stand right now.
Ipswich
Considering the gameplay we’ve seen from them this season, Ipswich is likely to be relegated. They’re currently sitting at just 9 points thanks to 6 draws and 1 win, against Spurs of all teams.
And while they’re not half bad defensively, they always seem to be on the losing end of tight contests and that’s going to cost them dearly at the end of the season. For me, -250 for Ipswich to be relegated is a fine bet.
Everton
Everton is one of the lowest-scoring teams in the League. Only bottom-of-the-barrel Southampton has scored fewer goals this season than the Toffees. They were in terrible form up until the last fixture when they stomped Wolves 4:0.
But, a single win won’t mean much if they can’t perform at the same level in the next few matches. The next three are going to be particularly difficult. More precisely, the Toffees are set to play against Arsenal, Chelsea, and Manchester City in the next 3 EPL fixtures. I doubt they’ll reach a single point, which is likely going to push them below the relegation zone coming into the final EPL clash this year.
Leicester
I am not sure what to think about Leicester anymore. They’re far from good form on the defensive end, having conceded 30 goals in 15 matches. However, they’re not half bad offensively, having scored 21 goals so far which is more than the likes of Nottingham Forest (in 5th), Newcastle (in 12th), and Manchester United (in 13th), just to name a few.
I doubt we’ll see them go down this season. They have room for improvement, no doubts there, but their new manager Ruud Van Nistelrooy is bound to keep them up for at least another season in the EPL.
Premier League Title Odds Summary
Manchester City and Liverpool are the primary EPL title contenders at the moment. At the start of the season, though, everyone expected City to have a walk in the park considering the fact Liverpool’s Slot was still a big unknown. Fast forward 15 matchdays and Slot’s Liverpool is in a mighty good situation in both Premier League and Champions League.
Obviously, Manchester City is the biggest disappointment so far, sinking down to fourth place with 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses. But, Pep’s City is merely a maimed beast and will surely jump right back into form… but without Rodri and with more and more defensive blunders, I doubt they’ll manage to win anything this season.
That said, this one is going to go down between Liverpool, Chelsea, and Arsenal. Even though I’m a Man Utd fan, I just can’t believe how good Liverpool has been performing under Arne Slot. If they can keep this level of consistency all season long, they’ll cruise to the title with ease!
As for the relegation race, I expect Southampton to go down without a fight. As for the two remaining relegation places, they’re likely to go down between Wolves, Ipswich, Leicester and Everton. Yes, I know Crystal Palace is in the mix too, but they’ve been showing solid defensive efforts and I doubt their poor form will continue much longer.
What are your thoughts on the 2024/25 English Premier League title and relegation races? Let us know in the comments section down below!
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