Kamala Harris VP Odds and Prediction
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Multiple Democratic governors headline the latest Kamala Harris VP odds. In the days since President Biden announced he was dropping out of his campaign, Harris has all but locked up the presidential nomination. Her choice as a running mate could make or break her campaign.
Harris has less than four months to build support for her campaign, and her VP pick could help her lock up a key swing state. This guide highlights the latest Kamala Harris running mate odds from the top political betting sites.
2024 Vice Presidential Candidate Odds
Last Update: July 30th, 2024
In just over a week, the Democratic party’s leaders, voters, and major donors have seemingly united behind Kamala Harris. Harris has also largely caught up with Trump in the latest polling data. But one big question still remains: Who will Harris choose as her vice president?
Check out the table below for updated Harris VP odds as of July 30th, courtesy of BetOnline Sportsbook.
| VP Candidate | Harris VP Odds | Previous Odds |
| Mark Kelly | +130 | +130 |
| Josh Shapiro | +150 | +250 |
| Tim Walz | +475 | +1400 |
| Pete Buttigieg | +1400 | +2000 |
| Andy Beshear | +2800 | +1000 |
Mark Kelly (+130)
Arizona Senator Mark Kelly is the +130 favorite to be Harris’s VP selection. He briefly lost the top spot when his odds faded below the +200 line over the weekend. However, Kelly’s odd quickly returned to the +130 line and regained his position as the favorite.
Kelly is a veteran, an astronaut, and a popular political figure on the West Coast. His service record also helps him appeal to moderate conservatives who are looking for an alternative to Trump. On the other hand, many swing states are in the Midwest and on the East Coast, and an all-West Coast ticket could struggle to rally support in key markets.
Josh Shapiro (+150)
The candidate who briefly passed Kelly in the Harris VP odds was Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro. He opened at +250, but Shapiro’s odds quickly shortened to around +130 and was briefly the favorite. It did not last long, though, and Shapiro’s odds have faded slightly to +150.
Despite the slight step backward, Shapiro is still hot on Kelly’s heels in the current odds. In theory, Shapiro offers a bigger advantage in the Electoral College because Pennsylvania is worth more votes than Arizona. Also, as a popular East Coast politician, Shapiro could be better positioned to help Harris in Midwest swing states like Michigan and Wisconsin.
Tim Walz (+475)
Another candidate who has surged ahead in the latest Harris VP odds is Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz. He was listed at +1400 when this market opened, but his odds have shortened significantly to +475. Walz has an extensive political record and would help Harris appeal to Midwestern voters.
Selecting Walz as her VP would be a sign that Harris is trying to shore up support in the Midwest. Walz spent 12 years in Congress and was successful despite being in a red, rural district in southern Minnesota. He does not have the name recognition of Kelly or Shapiro, but Walz could bring a lot of balance to the Democrats’ ticket.
Pete Buttigieg (+1400)
Pete Buttigieg has plenty of name recognition, but his odds of being Harris’s running mate are still a long shot. He was previously listed at +2000, and his odds have improved to +1400. Buttigieg has the fourth-best odds, but he has a lot of ground to make up to compete with Kelly, Shapiro, and Walz.
He is a great public speaker and has recently appeared on multiple news shows campaigning for Harris. However, Buttigieg does not offer the same inherent electoral college advantages as other top candidates.
Andy Beshear (+2800)
Not every potential running mate has improved in the latest Harris VP odds. Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear was listed at +1000 odds when this market opened, and his odds have faded to +2800. As a successful Democrat in a red state, Beshear could help Harris with swing voters in battleground states.
Beshear is also from Kentucky and would provide an interesting contrast to Trump’s VP nominee, JD Vance. Vance and Beshear have already butted heads over the former’s claims of being from Appalachia. As a vice president running mate, though, Beshear offers limited value compared to other top nominees.
Last Updated: July 25, 2024
Democrats have been quick to rally around Kamala Harris as the new Democratic presidential nominee. She will not be confirmed as the nominee until next month, but no one has tried to challenge Harris for the nomination thus far. One question remains, though. Who will Kamala Harris choose as her running mate?
Read the table below to learn the current Kamala Harris 2024 VP betting odds, courtesy of BetOnline.
| Candidate | Kamala Harris VP Betting Odds | Current Position |
| Mark Kelly | +130 | Senator from Arizona |
| Josh Shapiro | +250 | Gov. of Pennsylvania |
| Roy Cooper | +450 | Gov. of North Carolina |
| Andy Beshear | +1000 | Gov. of Kentucky |
| Tim Walz | +1400 | Gov. of Minnesota |
| Pete Buttigieg | +2000 | US Secretary of Transportation |
| Gretchen Whitmer | +4000 | Gov. of Michigan |
| Michelle Obama | +4000 | Former First Lady |
| Gavin Newsom | +5000 | Gov. of California |
| Hillary Clinton | +6600 | Former Senator and US Secretary of State |
| J.B. Pritzker | +6600 | Gov. of Illinois |
| Mark Cuban | +6600 | Businessman |
| Wes Moore | +10000 | Gov. of Maryland |
| Raphael Warnock | +10000 | Senator from Georgia |
| George Clooney | +10000 | Actor |
| William McRaven | +10000 | Retired US Navy admiral |
| Oprah Winfrey | +25000 | Businesswoman |
| Nick Saban | +25000 | Retired CFB coach |
Mark Kelly (+130)
The current favorite to be Harris’s VP running mate is Mark Kelly, a Senator from Arizona. In theory, Kelly would help the Democrats secure the Grand Canyon State. The state laws would also allow Katie Hobbs, the Governor of Arizona, to appoint another Democrat to fill Kelly’s seat in the Senate.
In addition to the political advantages Kelly offers, he is extremely popular in his home state and has a reputation for bipartisanship. Kelly also has a great career outside of politics, including 25 years of service in the US Navy and being an astronaut.
Prior to 2018, Kelly was an independent, which could help him attract undecided voters. However, this could be a double-edged sword, as left-wing voters are less likely to be enthused with his inclusion on the ticket. A Harris-Kelly ticket could also be seen as being too West Coast focused, which would hurt in swing states on the East Coast.
Josh Shapiro (+250)
Speaking of the East Coast, the potential running mate with the next best odds is Josh Shapiro, the Governor of Pennsylvania. Like Kelly, Shapiro is a popular, relatively moderate Democrat from a swing state. However, Shapiro is a far more experienced politician.
Shapiro started his career as an elected official in 2005 as a member of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives. He has also served as a member and later the chairman of the Montogomery County Board of Commissioners. From 2017 to 2023, Shapiro was the Attorney General of PA.
Experience is not the only advantage Shapiro would have over the favorite. Pennsylvania is worth 19 electoral college votes, making it a more valuable state than Arizona, which is worth 11. It is also considered a “must-win” state in this election if Kamala has any chance to beat Trump this November.
Shapiro is not a perfect candidate, though. His Jewish heritage could put an even bigger spotlight on the campaign’s response to the decades-long Israel-Palestine conflict.
Roy Cooper (+450)
Roy Cooper, the governor of North Carolina, is another East Coast politician with favorable odds of being Kamala Harris’s Vice President. He is listed at +450 in the current Kamala Harris VP candidate odds. Cooper has been an elected official serving The Tarheel State since 1987.
His popularity in a state that Donald Trump won in 2020 could be Cooper’s ticket to being named the Vice President nominee. Flipping North Carolina and winning its 16 electoral college votes would be a major win for Democrats. Cooper’s appeal to moderate voters could help Harris win swing states on the East Coast and Midwest.
On the other hand, Cooper has moved toward the left and away from the political center in recent years. His decisions as Governor, such as embracing criminal justice reform, could hurt Cooper with moderates.
Andy Beshear (+1000)
Kentucky is another state that has supported Trump in recent elections. Despite being a stronghold for the GOP, the Bluegrass State has a Democratic governor. Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear is listed at +1000 odds to be the Democratic vice presidential nomination.
Beshear was elected as Attorney General of Kentucky in 2015 and then became the Governor in 2019. Despite his success in the state, though, choosing Beshear would not guarantee that Democrats win Kentucky this November. Trump won over 62% of the vote in Kentucky in 2020, so the benefits of adding Beshear to the ticket are limited.
Pete Buttigieg (+2000)
After Beshear, Kamala Harris’s running mate odds fall significantly. US Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg has the next-best odds at +2000. Buttigieg is popular, a skilled debater, and was one of the top candidates in the 2020 Democratic Primaries.
I think Buttigieg will be involved in another presidential campaign in the future. His appeal to progressive voters, especially younger voters, should help Buttigieg for years to come. However, pairing an openly gay man with a half-African-American, half-Asian-American woman presidential candidate would undoubtedly be too progressive for some voters.
Gretchen Whitmer (+4000)
Gretchen Whitmer, the governor of Michigan, is also being considered as a potential running mate for Kamala Harris. The Biden campaign won Michigan by fewer than three points in 2020, and Whitmer has been a key part of progressing left-wing policies in the Wolverine State.
Big Gretch could help the Harris Campaign appeal to swing voters in the Midwest. However, like Buttigieg, including Whitmer on the ticket may be too progressive for some voters. An all-female ticket would likely struggle in rural counties, and that is a big reason why Whitmer is listed at 40-1 in the current odds.
Michelle Obama (+4000)
Another candidate listed at 40-1 odds to be Kamala Harri’s VP pick is Michelle Obama. The former First Lady is extremely popular and could reenergize the Democratic voting base. However, Michelle and her husband, former President Barack Obama, have yet to officially endorse Harris as the nominee.
BetOnline has the Obamas listed at -400 to endorse Kamala eventually, but the longer they go without endorsing Harris, the more concerning their silence is. I believe Michelle and Barack will endorse Harris, but Michelle’s lack of political experience and her disdain for politics in general make her an unlikely Vice President pick.
Gavin Newsom (+5000)
One candidate who has faded in election-related betting markets in recent weeks is the Gov. of California, Gavin Newsom. Newsom was a popular pick to replace Biden when he stepped down and is now being touted as Harris’s VP. However, it would be challenging for Newsom to join the ticket.
The President and Vice President cannot be from the same state, and Harris and Newsom are both based in California. Newsom’s struggles with addressing some of his camping promises, such as fixing the homelessness problem in the Golden State, would make him an easy target for the GOP. Both of those issues are major reasons why Newsom is listed at +5000 to be the VP nominee.
Other Candidates
The candidates above are just a few of Kamala Harris’s potential running mates. Some of the other potential Vice President nominees include:
- Hillary Clinton (+6600)
- Wes Moore (+10000)
- Tim Walz (+1400)
- J.B. Pritzker (+6600)
- Mark Cuban (+6600)
Clinton is the most experienced of these other candidates, but her loss to Trump in 2016 makes her an unlikely nominee. Likewise, Moore, Walz, and Pritzker lack the nationwide name recognition or electoral college advantages offered by other top nominees. Billionaire Mark Cuban is well-known, but he lacks political experience.
Kamala Harris VP Prediction
As you can see, there are plenty of qualified candidates that Harris could pick as her running mate. But who is the best bet for Kamala Harris’s VP selection?
I believe Josh Shapiro makes the most sense as Harri’s Vice President. He could help secure Pennsylvania, the most valuable swing state and a must-win state for the Democrats this November. It would also give Harris a running mate who is well-known on the East Coast and the Midwest, where most of the swing states are.
Prediction: Josh Shapiro is the Democratic Vice President nominee (+250)
Democratic Vice Presidential Candidate Odds and Pick
Kamala Harris has assumed the mantle as the presumptive Democratic nominee this November. The party has started to unite behind Harris, but there is still a question as to who she will choose as her running mate.
Arizona Senator Mark Kelly (+130) leads the current Kamala Harris VP candidate odds. However, I think Harris will choose Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro (+250) as her running mate. You can stay up-to-date with the 2024 political odds by creating an account at BetOnline Sportsbooks.
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