The Best MNF Player Prop Bets for Week 10: Top Bets for Broncos vs. Bills
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MNF player props are a great option for spicing up the final game of any given NFL week. These wagers are especially important in weeks like Week 10, when the Broncos will once again be appearing in prime time. Denver takes on Buffalo as both teams look to turn around disappointing seasons.
You can bet on football online from your desktop or preferred mobile device. This makes it easy to access all of the latest betting odds for this AFC matchup.
Keep reading to see my picks for the best MNF player props. I will tell you my favorite bets for players on both the Bills and Broncos in Week 10. Also, I will give you my prediction for each wager I discuss.
CTA –
The Best MNF Player Props for Week 10
Betting on Monday Night Football player props is a great way to finish off your week of NFL wagers. This week’s matchup pits the Broncos (3-5) against the Bills (5-4). Both teams are still alive in the AFC playoff race but are currently on the outside looking in.
Here are my favorite player prop bets for Week 10 on MNF, with odds courtesy of Bovada Sportsbook.
Broncos Player Props
The Broncos beat the Chiefs for the first time in over seven years in Week 8. Denver had a bye last week, so they should be well-rested and had extra time to prepare for this MNF matchup. Here are the best Monday Night Football player props for the Broncos this week.
Javonte Williams Anytime TD Scorer (+162)
RB Javonte Williams has had a rough third season in the NFL. He failed to gain more than 52 yards on the ground in a game during his first five appearances. Williams turned that around in the last two games, though, racking up 82 and 85 yards in those contests.
Denver needs Willaims to be productive this week if they want to control the clock. Williams has performed better on the ground since returning from injury. He even scored his first TD of the season in the Broncos’ win over the Chiefs.
"The confidence that a win over the Chiefs gives a team, a specific guy—like Javonte Williams—cannot be [overstated]."
— @alexisraeperry thinks it's fair that the Broncos players have their sights set on the playoffs after beating the defending Super Bowl Champs 👀👀 pic.twitter.com/63zciSZFnz
— DNVR Broncos (@DNVR_Broncos) November 1, 2023
Williams should be well-rested since Denver is coming off of its bye and I think he can get into the endzone again. Bovada has Williams listed at +162 to score a TD this week.
His TD against Kansas City was a receiving TD, so Williams still has zero rushing TDs on the season. As long as Williams scores either a rushing or receiving TD, this bet will cash.
Javonte Williams First Broncos TD Scorer (+375)
As I mentioned above, I think Williams will get his second TD of the season this week against Buffalo. If you have watched the Broncos this season, then you know that they are not likely to have many chances to score this week. That means that if Williams does score, he will have a good chance of being Denver’s first TD scorer.
Bovada has Williams listed at +375 to be the first Broncos’ player to find the endzone. Both receiving and rushing TDs would qualify for this bet. That is good news since Williams’ only TD this season was a receiving score.
At +375, you do not need to make a big wager on this bet to get a sizeable payout. I think it is worth the risk as a stand-alone wager, especially if you only bet half of your usual stake.
Russell Wilson Over 208.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Another player that needs to step up for the Broncos this week is their QB, Russell Wilson. Despite their win-loss record, Wilson has played better this season compared to last year. He is completing 66.1% of passes and already has 16 passing TDs, tying his total from last season.
However, Russell is not passing for a lot of yards this year. He has been held under 200 passing yards in four straight games. But I think that will change this week against a Bills defense that has been decimated by injuries.
Russell Wilson on 10+ yard throws this season:
39/65
815 yards
11 TDs / 2 INTs
130.9 passer rating— PFF DEN Broncos (@PFF_Broncos) November 1, 2023
Football betting sites have Wilson listed at over/under 208.5 passing yards for this game. I believe Wilson can do enough to cover the over in this bet.
Denver will likely try to run the ball early, but I doubt that can stick with that plan. If Bills’ QB Josh Allen is playing at his best, then Buffalo is going to put up points. The Broncos will need Wilson to throw the ball if they want to keep up.
Bills Player Props
The Bills are coming off a loss to the Bengals on SNF. There is no shame in losing to Cincinnati, but the loss did knock Buffalo out of the playoff picture. Josh Allen and Co. need a win this week to get their season back on track.
Stefon Diggs Anytime TD Scorer (-112)
While they have been better lately, the Broncos’ defense is still a far cry from what it has been in recent years. The player that should benefit the most from Denver’s porous defense in this game is WR Stefon Diggs.
Diggs has double-digit targets in six of Buffalo’s nine games this season. He is averaging 11.9 yards per reception this season and is Josh Allen’s favorite target. Diggs has been a big part of the Bills offense in the red zone, too, and has 7 TDs this season.
JOSH ALLEN DOT TO STEFON DIGGS 🎯
(via @NFL)pic.twitter.com/EHLGnX99rf
— B/R Gridiron (@brgridiron) November 6, 2023
Bovada has Diggs listed at -112 to score a TD this weekend. Denver’s defense has allowed 16 passing TDs this weekend, the fifth-most in the league.
I believe that Diggs can find the endzone once again this weekend. The Bills need Diggs to be productive if they want to avoid prime time losses in back-to-back weeks. Allen also needs to keep Diggs involved to avoid upsetting the All-Pro receiver.
Josh Allen Over 32.5 Rushing Yards
Another MNF player prop I like is Josh Allen’s rushing totals prop. Bovada has Allen listed at over/under 32.5 rushing yards for this game.
I like this total for two reasons. First and foremost, the Broncos’ rushing defense is one of the worst in the league. Also, Allen likes to run the ball a lot and has at least 36 rushing yards in four of the Bills’ nine games this year.
Allen will scramble when given the chance, and he should have a lot of chances for big gains against Denver. I would take the over in the player prop.
Josh Allen Anytime TD Scorer (+125)
Speaking of Allen, he is available in Bovada’s anytime TD scorer markets. He is listed at +125 in this MNF player props wager.
This prop bet does not include Allen’s passing TDs. So, he would need to rush for a TD for this wager to win. The good news is that Allen has a rushing TD in six of the Bills’ nine games so far this season.
Josh Allen said GOT EEEEM pic.twitter.com/CgdEKPVOJq
— Bussin' With The Boys (@BussinWTB) November 6, 2023
Also, as I mentioned above, Denver’s rushing defense is one of the worst in the league. The Broncos have allowed 5.4 yards per carry this year and have given up 8 rushing TDs. Five of those touchdowns came in their 70-20 loss to Miami, but it is still a good matchup for Allen.
The Broncos have not had to deal with a QB with a rushing ability like Allen this year. Justin Fields of the Bears would be the closest comparison, but Fields only rushed four times in their Week 4 matchup. I think Allen can get at least one score with his legs and I would take this prop wager.
James Cook Under 76.5 Combined Rushing and Receiving Yards (-115)
The final spot on my list of the best MNF player props for this week is this James Cook combined rushing and receiving yards prop. Cook is a talented RB, but his skills have largely been wasted in Buffalo.
Bovada has Cook listed at over/under 76.5 combined yards in this wager. Cook has covered that total four times this season, but he has only hit it once in the last five games.
It is also worth noting that Allen and Latavius Murray eat into Cook’s rushing attempts. I simply do not believe that he will get enough touches to cover this total. For reference, he had just 39 scrimmage yards on 10 total touches in last week’s loss to the Bengals.
Which Week 10 MNF Player Props Will You Bet On?
This week the Broncos travel to Buffalo to take on the Bills. Check out the list above to see the latest Monday Night Football player props for this matchup of AFC teams. You can find even more great betting markets for every game this week at Bovada Sportsbook.
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